Public Dashboard: Groundhog Consensus (2025)

Consensus selections for the Groundhog Challenge XIX, our annual Iditarod of stock selection excellence that runs from Groundhog Day to Groundhog Day. Honorable mentions: Adobe (ADBE), Halozyme Therapeutics (HALO), Tesla (TSLA), Meta (META), United Rentals (URI)

08/02/2025
Company Symbol Shares Price Value % of Total Growth Proj P/E Proj Yield Fin Str EPS Stab Qlty PAR
Averages $1,675.56 15.3% 38.8 0.5% 84% 68 90.4 11.4%
Argan* AGX 0.62 $225.27 $138.95 8.3% 17.6% 22.5 2.5% 78% 67 91 6.2%
Amazon.com AMZN 0.42 $214.75 $89.92 5.4% 11.2% 40.2 0.0% 96% 48 75 11.9%
ASML ASML 0.14 $689.82 $93.33 5.6% 14.1% 19.8 1.0% 99% 97 99 13.0%
Axos Financial AX 1.37 $84.41 $115.47 6.9% 13.4% 11.5 0.0% 43% 99 96 12.8%
Credo Technology CRDO 1.26 $107.56 $135.06 8.1% 18.8% 32.3 0.0% 68% 29 88 -0.8%
DoubleVerify* DV 4.60 $15.16 $69.77 4.2% 19.2% 20.4 0.0% 87% 52 83 24.5%
Fortinet FTNT 0.95 $97.36 $92.97 5.5% 17.0% 38.7 0.0% 85% 57 86 9.5%
Alphabet (Google) GOOG 0.52 $189.95 $98.26 5.9% 10.8% 25.3 0.4% 97% 88 93 11.2%
Green Brick Partners* GRBK 1.67 $63.74 $106.45 6.4% 8.8% 10.8 0.0% 77% 60 80 15.5%
Microsoft MSFT 0.24 $524.11 $126.04 7.5% 13.6% 31.3 0.8% 82% 91 97 9.0%
NICE NICE 0.58 $152.61 $87.77 5.2% 10.4% 19.0 0.0% 99% 93 97 20.7%
NVIDIA Corp. NVDA 0.78 $173.72 $135.00 8.1% 17.9% 28.8 0.2% 99% 67 100 9.5%
Novo Nordisk NVO 1.15 $48.19 $55.28 3.3% 13.6% 18.5 1.6% 92% 99 91 17.9%
Opera* OPRA 5.10 $15.86 $80.92 4.8% 19.4% 11.0 0.2% 78% 50 88 28.9%
Palantir Technologies PLTR 0.90 $154.27 $138.63 8.3% 22.3% 207.6 0.0% 78% 20 80 1.8%
Taiwan Semi TSM 0.48 $235.21 $111.74 6.7% 12.2% 17.1 1.0% 97% 92 100 12.3%


MIPAR 9.5%  
Sweet Spot 14.5% - 19.5%  
Portfolio Averages
PAR 11.4%
Quality 90.4
Growth 15.3%
P/E Ratio 38.8
Yield 0.5%
Fin Strength 84%
EPS Stability 68