Public Dashboard: Groundhog Consensus (2025)

Consensus selections for the Groundhog Challenge XIX, our annual Iditarod of stock selection excellence that runs from Groundhog Day to Groundhog Day. Honorable mentions: Adobe (ADBE), Halozyme Therapeutics (HALO), Tesla (TSLA), Meta (META), United Rentals (URI)

09/16/2025
Company Symbol Shares Price Value % of Total Growth Proj P/E Proj Yield Fin Str EPS Stab Qlty PAR
Averages $1,870.11 15.3% 38.6 0.5% 83% 67 90.3 8.5%
Argan* AGX 0.62 $238.75 $147.27 7.9% 17.6% 22.5 2.5% 78% 67 91 5.0%
Amazon.com AMZN 0.42 $231.43 $96.90 5.2% 11.2% 40.2 0.0% 96% 48 75 10.2%
ASML ASML 0.14 $867.30 $117.34 6.3% 14.1% 19.8 1.0% 99% 97 99 8.0%
Axos Financial AX 1.37 $90.29 $123.52 6.6% 13.4% 11.5 0.0% 43% 99 96 11.3%
Credo Technology CRDO 1.26 $163.98 $205.90 11.0% 18.8% 32.3 0.0% 68% 29 88 -8.9%
DoubleVerify* DV 4.60 $13.01 $59.87 3.2% 19.2% 20.4 0.0% 87% 52 83 28.3%
Fortinet FTNT 0.95 $81.00 $77.35 4.1% 17.0% 38.7 0.0% 85% 57 86 13.6%
Alphabet (Google) GOOG 0.52 $251.76 $130.24 7.0% 10.8% 25.3 0.4% 97% 88 93 5.1%
Green Brick Partners* GRBK 1.67 $73.05 $121.99 6.5% 8.8% 10.8 0.0% 77% 60 80 12.4%
Microsoft MSFT 0.24 $515.36 $123.94 6.6% 13.6% 31.3 0.8% 82% 91 97 9.4%
NICE NICE 0.58 $143.19 $82.35 4.4% 10.4% 19.0 0.0% 99% 93 97 22.2%
NVIDIA Corp. NVDA 0.78 $177.75 $138.13 7.4% 17.9% 28.8 0.2% 99% 67 100 9.0%
Novo Nordisk NVO 1.15 $55.62 $63.81 3.4% 13.6% 18.5 1.6% 92% 99 91 14.6%
Opera* OPRA 5.10 $20.28 $103.47 5.5% 19.4% 11.0 0.2% 78% 50 88 22.7%
Palantir Technologies PLTR 0.90 $171.21 $153.86 8.2% 22.3% 207.6 0.0% 78% 20 80 -0.3%
Taiwan Semi TSM 0.48 $261.38 $124.17 6.6% 12.2% 17.1 1.0% 97% 92 100 10.0%


MIPAR 8.1%  
Sweet Spot 13.1% - 18.1%  
Portfolio Averages
PAR 8.5%
Quality 90.3
Growth 15.3%
P/E Ratio 38.6
Yield 0.5%
Fin Strength 83%
EPS Stability 67