Public Dashboard: Groundhog Consensus (2025)

Consensus selections for the Groundhog Challenge XIX, our annual Iditarod of stock selection excellence that runs from Groundhog Day to Groundhog Day. Honorable mentions: Adobe (ADBE), Halozyme Therapeutics (HALO), Tesla (TSLA), Meta (META), United Rentals (URI)

04/30/2025
Company Symbol Shares Price Value % of Total Growth Proj P/E Proj Yield Fin Str EPS Stab Qlty PAR
Averages $1,353.20 14.6% 31.1 0.5% 84% 71 89.4 13.8%
Argan* AGX 0.62 $151.88 $93.68 6.9% 12.1% 20.0 2.5% 73% 70 79 6.1%
Amazon.com AMZN 0.42 $187.39 $78.46 5.8% 12.0% 35.6 0.0% 90% 58 77 13.8%
ASML ASML 0.14 $666.11 $90.12 6.7% 14.2% 21.9 1.0% 99% 95 99 13.2%
Axos Financial AX 1.37 $63.94 $87.47 6.5% 12.6% 9.7 0.0% 44% 99 97 16.6%
Credo Technology CRDO 1.26 $43.21 $54.26 4.0% 24.5% 29.3 0.0% 55% 27 82 11.0%
DoubleVerify* DV 4.60 $13.47 $61.99 4.6% 18.7% 19.4 0.0% 89% 54 83 24.7%
Fortinet FTNT 0.95 $104.21 $99.51 7.4% 17.0% 40.3 0.0% 89% 57 86 8.3%
Alphabet (Google) GOOG 0.52 $162.06 $83.83 6.2% 12.4% 23.2 0.4% 95% 94 93 12.6%
Green Brick Partners* GRBK 1.67 $58.22 $97.23 7.2% 10.0% 9.5 0.0% 80% 56 81 15.1%
Microsoft MSFT 0.24 $394.04 $94.76 7.0% 14.2% 27.4 0.8% 88% 90 98 11.8%
NICE NICE 0.58 $156.17 $89.82 6.6% 10.4% 18.7 0.0% 96% 93 97 19.4%
NVIDIA Corp. NVDA 0.78 $109.02 $84.72 6.3% 16.6% 26.5 0.2% 99% 66 99 14.2%
Novo Nordisk NVO 1.15 $62.62 $71.84 5.3% 17.2% 21.5 1.7% 96% 98 93 16.8%
Opera* OPRA 5.10 $16.53 $84.34 6.2% 18.7% 11.3 0.2% 82% 49 87 26.3%
Palantir Technologies PLTR 0.90 $114.65 $103.03 7.6% 15.9% 142.1 0.0% 65% 30 80 1.8%
Taiwan Semi TSM 0.48 $164.48 $78.14 5.8% 11.6% 16.8 1.0% 100% 91 99 15.6%


MIPAR 10.8%  
Sweet Spot 15.8% - 20.8%  
Portfolio Averages
PAR 13.8%
Quality 89.4
Growth 14.6%
P/E Ratio 31.1
Yield 0.5%
Fin Strength 84%
EPS Stability 71